Predictions


  Famous Predictions By "Experts!" (and be certain to read the last one) 

  "Man will never reach the moon regardless of all future 
  scientific advances." -- Dr. Lee DeForest, "Father of Radio & 
  Grandfather of Television." 

  "The bomb will never go off. I speak as an expert in explosives." 
  -- Admiral William Leahy, US Atomic Bomb Project 

  "There is no likelihood man can ever tap the power of the atom." 
  -- Robert Millikan, Nobel Prize in Physics, 1923 

  "Computers in the future may weigh no more than 1.5 tons." -- 
  Popular Mechanics, forecasting the relentless march of science, 1949 

  "I think there is a world market for maybe five computers. Tops!" 
  -- T homas Watson, chairman of IBM, 1943 

  "I have traveled the length and breadth of this country and talked with 
  the best people, and I can assure you that data processing is a fad 
  that won't last out the year." -- The editor in charge of business 
  books for Prentice Hall, 1957 

  "But what... is it good for?" -- Engineer at the Advanced 
  Computing Systems Division of IBM, 1968, commenting on the microchip. 

  "640K ought to be enough for anybody." -- Bill Gates, 1981 

  "This 'telephone' concept has too many shortcomings to be 
  seriously considered as a means of communication. The device is 
  inherently of no value to us," -- Western Union internal memo, 1876. 

  "The wireless music box has no imaginable commercial value. Who 
  would pay for a message sent to nobody in particular?" -- David 
  Sarnoff's associates in response to his urgings for investment in the 
  radio in the 1920s." 

  "The concept is interesting and well-forme d, but in order to 
  earn better than a 'C,' the idea must be feasible," -- A Yale 
  University management professor in response to Fred Smith's paper 
  proposing reliable overnight delivery service. (Smith went on to found 
  Federal Express Corp.) 

  "I'm just glad it'll be Clark Gable who's falling on his face and 
  not Gary Cooper," -- Gary Cooper on his decision not to take the 
  leading role in "Gone With The Wind." 

  "A cookie store is a bad idea. Besides, the market research reports say 
  America likes crispy cookies, not soft and chewy cookies like 
  you make," -- Response to Debbi Fields' idea of starting Mrs. 
  Fields' Cookies. 

  "We don't like their sound, and guitar music is on the way out," 
  -- Decca Recording Co. rejecting the Beatles, 1962. 

  "Heavier-than- air flying machines are impossible," -- Lord 
  Kelvin, president, Royal Society, 1895. 

  "If I had thought about it, I wouldn't have done the experiment. 
  The literature was full of examples that said you can't do this," - 
  - Spencer Silver on the work that led to the unique adhesives for 3- 
  M "Post-It" Notepads. 

  "Drill for oil? You mean drill into the ground to try and find 
  oil? You're crazy," -- Drillers who Edwin L. Drake tried to enlist to 
  his project to drill for oil in 1859. 

  "Stocks have reached what looks like a permanently high plateau." 
  -- Irving Fisher, Professor of Economics, Yale University, 1929. 

  "Airplanes are interesting toys but of no military value," -- Marechal 
  Ferdinand Foch, Professor of Strategy, Ecole Superieure de Guerre, 
  France. 

  "Everything that can be invented has been invented," -- Charles 
  H. Duell, Commissioner, US Office of Patents, 1899. 

  "The super computer is technologically impossible. It would take all of 
  the water that flows over Niagara Falls to cool the heat generated by 
  the number of vacuum tubes required." -- Professor of 
  Electrical Engineering, New York University 

  "I don't know what use any one could find for a machine that would make 
  copies of documents. It certainly couldn't be a feasible business by 
  itself." -- the head of IBM, refusing to back the idea, forcing the 
  inventor to found Xerox. 

  "Louis Pasteur's theory of germs is ridiculous fiction." -- 
  Pierre Pachet, Professor of Physiology at Toulouse, 1872 

  "The abdomen, the chest, and the brain will forever be shut from 
  the intrusion of the wise and humane surgeon," -- Sir John Eric 
  Ericksen, British surgeon, appointed Surgeon-Extraordina ry to Queen 
  Victoria1873. 

  "There is no reason anyone would want a computer in their home." -- Ken 
  Olson, president, chairman and founder of Digital Equipment Corp., 1977 

  And last but not least... (and one we're watching closely!) 
  "Apple's computers are not REAL computers and will never be taken 
  seriously!" -- Andrew F. Kay, found er and CEO of KayPro Computer 
  Corporation (1982) 


This page created and maintained by Dave Palmer

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